Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.411941 3.617020 3.836326 4.089784 4.376569 4.693366 5.073150
2025-09-21 3.071432 3.341713 3.645814 4.018136 4.468750 5.006433 5.713042
2025-09-28 2.878298 3.198424 3.574166 4.057961 4.681030 5.483264 6.646647
2025-10-05 2.820504 3.201223 3.667855 4.301992 5.178289 6.416053 8.464826
2025-10-12 2.698380 3.109642 3.629991 4.366939 5.444884 7.094846 10.198645
2025-10-19 2.589149 3.021923 3.584427 4.410404 5.683145 7.790455 12.349049
2025-10-26 2.527084 2.988011 3.604048 4.544296 6.080054 8.874370 16.200515
2025-11-02 2.431041 2.900045 3.539086 4.541650 6.251507 9.604659 20.107081
2025-11-09 2.296711 2.750908 3.375290 4.367543 6.095302 9.613598 21.796065
2025-11-16 2.189525 2.633116 3.248356 4.238897 6.000909 9.735374 24.264631
2025-11-23 2.121475 2.565769 3.189764 4.213312 6.091834 10.323441 30.486140
2025-11-30 2.061691 2.506575 3.138751 4.194184 6.190864 10.977081 40.255765
2025-12-07 1.974328 2.410443 3.036015 4.095551 6.151292 11.354045 53.145903
2025-12-14 1.889810 2.315140 2.929950 3.983715 6.072245 11.616020 72.114146
2025-12-21 1.841775 2.270264 2.898367 3.998802 6.269483 12.901190 228.399114
2025-12-28 1.842065 2.295517 2.977036 4.220062 6.991415 16.952728 NaN
2026-01-04 1.806527 2.265438 2.965291 4.272893 7.334044 20.140114 NaN
2026-01-11 1.770317 2.232303 2.945977 4.308639 7.647660 24.065068 NaN
2026-01-18 1.752430 2.225875 2.969882 4.432942 8.258089 33.019422 NaN
2026-01-25 1.713611 2.185141 2.933088 4.428151 8.486410 40.391178 NaN
2026-02-01 1.650563 2.104337 2.823786 4.260719 8.153814 38.437199 NaN
2026-02-08 1.598124 2.038544 2.737686 4.137119 7.948003 38.458624 NaN
2026-02-15 1.564787 2.001487 2.699265 4.112245 8.066726 45.519879 NaN